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lundi 7 novembre 2016

shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge

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Who will win the elections?





shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge

The map of the battlefield is changing once more in favor of Donald Trump, in accordance with the last election newsletter electoral Fox News, announcing a career potentially tight on Tuesday against Hillary Clinton, who continues to maintain the electoral advantage.

In accordance with an update of the score card posted on Monday, Clinton can still reach the 270 electoral votes needed to win all States classified as "solid" or "inclined" Democrats.

But just barely. To do so would make that Clinton came to 274.

Trump is looking at a narrow path, but in expansion, to 270, and you could win to snatch the launches and launch at least a state that he is currently as tilted toward Clinton.

The state elections of Washington says he will not vote for Clinton

The following updates were made on Monday morning to the qualifications of Fox News Decision Team for battlefield key:
Map of predictions

See the map of prediction Fox News 2016 and make their own electoral projections,.
See Map of predictions →

Arizona changes from "shake" to "republican magra"
Iowa changes from "pull" to "republican magra"
Nevada changes from "shake" to "democrat weak"
North Carolina changes of "lean Democrat" to "toss up"
Utah changes from "pull" to "republican magra"

All, except the change of qualification in Nevada, reflect an improved image for the Republican candidate, although the latest surveys show a mixed picture. A survey of Fox News published on Monday morning showed Clinton expanding their lead to 4 points at the national level.

If Trump wins the "solid republican" states together with those who currently are seen as leaning in his address that had come with 215 electoral votes. Win the launch of the states and their 49 electoral votes would not be enough to Trump - that would have to steal a state blue.

Trump and Clinton are maintaining an aggressive campaign timing on the eve of the elections, trying to expel their supporters in the last lap.

Trump, speaking on Monday in Saratoga, Florida, the first of five manifestations, said that if you win, "corrupt politicians and their donors lost".

On the heels of the FBI once more by closing its investigation by e-mail of Clinton, said: "It is now time for the American people to deliver justice in the polls".

Before embarking on a final campaign in three states of battle, Clinton told journalists that has "some work to do to unite the country" and you want to be president of the people who vote for it and those that do not.

In the latest ratings, North Carolina was changed to "launch" in the middle of a race heated to the battlefield critical.

Clinton long held a small advantage at the polls there, but the race has been tightened to the point where none of the candidates has a clear advantage.

Utah has been a difficult to measure, with the independent candidate Evan McMullin emerging in a number of surveys of October. McMullin could still potentially surprise on Tuesday evening, but Trump now seems to have the advantage.

Nevada, meanwhile, is changing to "lean Democrat" since early voting in the state suggests an increase of the participation among Hispanic voters that leave against Trump.
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jeudi 29 septembre 2016

Trump ignores advice and launches Bill Clinton attack

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Trump ignores advice and launches Bill Clinton attack
Trump ignores advice and launches Bill Clinton attack

Refusing to end an insult-driven campaign, the Republican tries to tar Hillary Clinton with her husband’s infidelity.


Around the world, but Donald Trump and its most ardent supporters recognize that Donald Trump lost the debate on Monday evening. And because of the disbelief obstinate of candidate in their ability to do anything more to win, Trump lost the period post-debate also.

Now he is doubling down.

Despite the warnings of his colleagues republicans against insulting a beauty queen that disparaged for weight gain and launch an attack against Hillary Clinton by infidelities known of her husband, Trump is now directing its substitutes to do just that.

"Mr. Trump has never treated women as Hillary Clinton and her husband did when worked to destroy the accusers of Bill Clinton ", reads one of the topics of conversation of the campaign sent to substitutes on Thursday due to the controversy over the history of the former Miss Universe, Alicia Machado continued to dominate the headlines of the race.

And during a demonstration Thursday afternoon in Bedford, N. H., the own Trump reference to the scandals of the decade of 1990 which has been congratulating itself not to mention all the week. "The Clinton are the sordid past," said. "We are going to be the future very bright and clean."

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Trump broke Cuban embargo

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Trump broke Cuban embargo

 

 company of hotels and casinos of Donald Trump secretly spends the money trying to carry on business in Cuba in violation of the trade embargo of the USA, Newsweek informed on Thursday in a history that there might put in danger the support Cuban - American of the republican candidate for the presidency in the south of the Florida.
Trump Hotels and Casino full Resorts at least $ 68.000 of a company of consultancy at the end of 1998 in an attempt of giving to the companies of Trump an advantage in Cuba if the USA it slackens or trade sanctions raised, in accordance with the first page of the report of Newsweek, alumnus "Castro connection". the company of consultancy, Seven arrows of Investments and Development Corp., later he instructed the company of casinos about the way of doing that it seems that the legal expense for the charity.

On the following year, Trump flirted with a presidential career of the Party of Reform, giving a speech of November, 1999 to the National Foundation Cuban American in Miami, where he began like a hard line politician in favor of the sequestration who refused to do potentially lucrative business to himself in the communist island until Fidel Castro had disappeared.

Neither Trump nor Richard Campos, the chief of the Seven You Flower consultancy, they answered to the requests of Newsweek of comments. Trump demanded further on Fields, and the ex-adviser of Trump Roger Stone suggested to the aspects politician of the Florida that Fields might have operated for its account, without the approval of Trump, in the exploration of carrying on business in Cuba. Newsweek quoted an ex-executive of anonymous Trump who was affirming "Trump had taken part in the discussions on the trip to Cuba and knew that it had taken place." Trump hired the same company of consultancy to try to develop a casino of the Florida with the Tribe Seminole.

When Seven Arrows invoiced company of Trump to reimburse its work Cuba, in accordance with the magazine Newsweek, suggested itself the use of "Carinas Cuba" like charity coverage to obtain a license of the Office of the USA of Control of Foreign Assets after the fact, Cuba. OFAC does not express licenses after the companies that have already gone away to Cuba, and the catholic association is in fact the name of Caritas Cuba.

The report appears as Trump has worked to reinforce the Hispanic support in Miami-Dade, where the Cuban - American understands about 72 per cent of the registered republicans. It met a group of Cuban mostly American on Tuesday in the Small Havana, already beginning of this month in Miami it rushed forward at the politics of reconnection of the president Barack Obama with the island, after sounding well with him last year.

more prominent follower of local Cuban - American of the Trump, the USA. Senator Marco Rubio, qualified the report of "worrying" Newsweek.

"The article does some very serious and worrying accusations", he said in a declaration of the campaign. "I am going to reserve the judgment until we know all the facts and Donald it has given him the opportunity to answer."

The recent surveys prove to be Trump tied in Florida with Hillary Clinton. While the Cuban - American inclines hard republican, a survey of the International university of the Florida showed Miami Cuban-Dade endorsed by a narrow margin of Trump on Clinton. The favors democratic candidate raising of the trade embargo, a position of the same survey sample turns out to be favored by most of the local Cuban - American.

Bloomberg Businessweek informed in July that the executives of the Organization Trump traveled to Havana at the end of 2012 or beginning of 2013 to explore the business potential places and investments.

Nelson Díaz, the president Cuban - American of the Republican Party of Miami-Dade, questions

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lundi 26 septembre 2016

If Donald Trump wins debate, stocks likely to tank

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Expect stocks to tumble if Donald Trump win the first debate tonight.


Wall Street does not desire a President Trump (with the exception of a number of hedge fund managers and Trump supporters, like Carl Icahn). because the recent expression goes, the market loves excellent news, it will traumatize dangerous news, however it hates uncertainty. And Trump is that the motherlode of uncertainty.

"The typical capitalist simply cannot ponder the chance of a Trump conclusion," says Cary Leahey, chief U.S. economist at Decision Economics
As polls tighten -- CNN currently calls it a "dead heat" -- Wall Street has to return to terms that the likelihood of a President Trump is real...and rising. With the talk looming on Monday, the Dow fell 167 points.

A strong discussion performance by Trump on Monday can exacerbate those worries.

"If for a few reason Trump puts on a presidential showing...and Clinton stumbles for no matter reason, then the market might take another assessment," says Leahey. that is the polite method of claiming, stocks ar possible to fall.

The reality is stocks ar already pretty expensive. they don't seem to be at bubble level, says Tim Anderson, decision maker of MND Partners. however with the economy stall at slow growth of a hundred and twenty fifth to twenty and firms expected to possess a sixth quarter of falling earnings, investors ar touch the "pause" button.

Brexit and also the U.S. presidential race solely raise the hesitation.

Related: Voters say 2016 is that the final 'lesser of 2 evils' election

Are we have a tendency to certain another Brexit vote? Traders ar getting down to marvel. think about what happened within the start to Brexit: few thought it might happen till polls began to tighten shortly before the election. Stocks within the U.K. and Europe -- and even round the world -- began to angularity and angularity up and down as sentiment shifted. Then markets plummeted (albiet just for many days) ar Brexit.

"I assume this one wants a fat girl singing," says social scientist Diane Swonk of DS economic science. Uncertainty can reign "until we all know the end result of the election and who's getting to be in key post."

In a new return in the week, Wells Farg (WFC)puts the chance of a Clinton win at solely five hundredth. The bank says that may be "neutral" or "slightly positive" for investors. In distinction, a Trump ending would be "negative" or "slightly negative."

Many Wall Street banks have reached an identical conclusion: Clinton would be higher for the economy and market.

"Markets, in general, ar apt to try and do higher beneath a Clinton administration," aforementioned UBS in late August.

Related: Here's however the 'king of debt' plans to balance the budget

Trump desires to impose an enormous tax cut and reduce laws, that the profession likes. however he additionally desires to limit trade and immigration, and his policies may add considerably to the debt. Investors worry this might result in a trade war -- and even a recession. They additionally do not know the way to take care of his unpredictability.

"It remains not possible to understand what adult male. Trump extremely desires." " wrote Stefan Kreuzkamp, chief investment officer at Deutsche Bank, in an exceedingly recent report.

For now, U.S. stock indices ar near record levels and U.S. bond certificate yields ar terribly low. Investors seem to be valuation in an exceedingly Clinton win. If Trump continues to surge, investors can ought to discern simply however fearful of Trump they extremely ar.

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